United States Senate.

John McCainUnited States Senate.
Image: United States Senate.

Barack Obama
Image: United States Senate.

The two leading United States presidential candidates Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied according to the latest Day to Day Politics Poll Average. Both the 7-day average and the 10-day average show that the difference between the two candidates is within the margin of error. Barack Obama is polling at 45.8% and John McCain is at 45.1%.

The lead for Obama has dropped by 4% in the last week, two weeks after his trip to Europe. There is about 4 weeks until the Democratic and Republican Conventions and about 9% of the public is still undecided, which is a 2% drop since last week.

The Day to Day Politics Poll Average for the past week used the Gallup Tracking poll, the Rasmussen Tracking poll, the CNN poll, and the USA Today/Gallup poll.

The battleground states of Florida and Ohio, are also showing no statistically significant lead for either of the two candidates. However, Pennsylvania shows a statistically significant lead for Obama. These three states have been key battleground states in the past two elections with the winner of two of these three states winning the White House.

Also, according to a new national poll, white workers give Obama the edge by 10 percent (47% for Obama, 37% for McCain), even though 1/6th of this voting group is undecided. Both parties agree that this group of voters will be a key voting bloc for victory. With 92 days left until the General Election, both parties will be campaigning heavily in the three major battleground states mentioned above and among this particular voting group.

Source : wikinews

Advertisements

United States Presidential hopeful Barack Obama, spoke to over 200,000 last Thursday in Berlin, Germany at Tiergarten Park. His speech was focused on building a stronger connection with Germany and Europe. Obama also called for German troops to be deployed to Afghanistan, and for greater German participation in international crises.

Barack Obama while giving speech in Berlin

Barack Obama while giving speech in Berlin

The speech was received very well in Germany and back in the United States. The German newspaper Bild stated that “unlike George W. Bush, [Obama] wants to do this in cooperation with others, especially Europe.”

The National Reviews Jim Geraghty commended Obama on pushing Germany for more help in Afghanistan: “If Barack Obama can convince the Germans to contribute more to the mission in Afghanistan, God bless him, I mean that.” Germany’s own Der Tagesspiegel commented that the speech “was the signal of a new era for a new generation on both sides of the Atlantic.”

The McCain campaign said that the speech was “eloquent praise for this country.” However McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds also said that “while Barack Obama took a premature victory lap today in the heart of Berlin, proclaiming himself a ‘citizen of the world,’ John McCain continued to make his case to the American citizens who will decide this election.”

Barack Obama arrived in Berlin on July 24. His stop in Berlin was part of his Middle East/European tour that he has conducted to shore up his foreign relations record. Friday, Obama continued on to Paris, France.

obama_tie2_blog_fwa_20080425164741.jpg

PARIS — This was one of four Obama headlines last Friday in Le Figaro, the conservative newspaper whose favorite conservative is President Nicolas Sarkozy:

“Sarkozy: ‘Obama? C’est mon copain!” (‘Obama? He’s my buddy!”)

This was one of five from the liberal journal Liberation:

“OBAMANIA: From Berlin to the suburbs of Lyon, the Democratic candidate who fascinates the world shows the making of a president.”

I could go on in many languages, if I knew them. The headlines and most of the stories in Europe are mostly not political. In an interview in Liberation, the French historian Justin Vaisse, now at the Brookings Institution in Washington, said the most important political fact about Sen. Barack Obama under this headline: “Obama’s trump card? He’s not George Bush.”

That analysis was followed by a story about a new club in the suburbs of Lyon: “The Committee of Friends of Barack Obama.” That was about French people in the “les banlieues” — that translates literally as “suburbs,” but has come to mean something like “ghettos” — who are putting together diversity groups of black and white, Christian and Muslim. The founder of an older group, the Diversity Club of Rhone-Alps, Ali Kismoune, said: “The identification with Obama is not about his ideas, but of the man himself.”

That is the news from Europe. These folks don’t vote in the United States; to them Obama is more than a politician. He is a cultural figure, who has landed here with the impact Charles Lindbergh made when he flew the Atlantic alone more than 80 years ago.

Obama, at the moment, represents all things to all men and women. Diversity is a cultural issue, used by politicians but not strictly political. In some ways, the most powerful line in his Berlin speech, which was in many ways an old-fashioned American pitch for cooperation between Europe and the United States (with the United States as senior partner), was this: “I know that I don’t look like the Americans who’ve previously spoken in this great city.”

The politician he is most like, as seen from here, is John F. Kennedy, who, like Obama, represented a new generation taking over the most powerful country in the world. Kennedy was no revolutionary and neither is Obama. The Financial Times of London quoted a German analyst, Jan Techau:

“‘Many Germans see Mr. Bush’s stance on a range of issues almost as an insult, and therefore see Mr. Obama as something of a savior.’ He warned, however, that such hopes were likely to be dashed if Mr. Obama actually took power.”

That’s politics. What we saw last week was beyond politics. What was similar about Obama and Lindbergh — forgetting the flyer’s later politics — was that they physically embodied the future. The first solo flight across the Atlantic not only made the “Lone Eagle” the most famous man in the world, it was a symbol of new technology and eventually a smaller world, where diverse peoples would have to get to know each other.

Barack Obama, in the eyes of Europeans, particularly younger Europeans grappling with diversity, represents the future. He represents a smaller world where more people look like him than look like Kennedy or Ronald Reagan. That is what makes him different, and that is why so many people who may not understand the language he speaks still cheer his words.

They are actually, as Monsieur Kismoune said, cheering the man. And, an American here hopes, cheering the country that made a Barack Obama. At a symposium at Sciences Po, the elite school of political studies here, an American in Paris, Constance Borde, the president of Democrats Abroad, was asked what France could do to produce its own Obama. Her answer was short and a bit blasphemous at test-driven Sciences Po: “Try affirmative action.”

I don’t know whether Obama is the future. He doesn’t know himself, and he has acted with great discipline during his dazzling World Tour of 2008. And, of course, John McCain has some of his own ideas about everything written and cheered here.

What Obama demonstrated in the Middle East, and now here in Europe, is that, whatever his opponents say and have said about his inexperience, he is politically a man of the world. He is not only smart — we all knew that — but he listens to other people and actually seems to care about what they think and want in this new world that looks like him.

source : http://news.yahoo.com/s/ucrr/20080725/cm_ucrr/obamahaslandedsafely

Barack Obama (right) and Frank-Walter Steinmeier

BERLIN (AFP) — US presidential hopeful Barack Obama was due in Paris on Friday a day after telling a vast crowd of 200,000 people in Berlin that Americans and Europeans must tear down walls between estranged allies, races and faiths, in a soaring challenge to a new political generation.

Obama’s aides did not detail his agenda, but the Illinois senator was expected to land at Le Bourget airport and head into Paris solely for the Sarkozy meeting before leaving for London soon afterwards.

more…http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jZYA0p8JhFv3sb_KZxxoziL6utxQ